a differential equation model for studying business cycle: an empirical case study of iran's economy (1975-2005)

نویسندگان

رحیم دلالی اصفهانی

عضو هیات علمی گروه اقتصاد دانشگاه اصفهان هوشنگ شجری

دانشیار عضو هیات علمی گروه اقتصاد دانشگاه اصفهان محسن رنانی

عضو هیات علمی گروه اقتصاد دانشگاه اصفهان سهراب دل انگیزان

عضو هیات علمی گروه اقتصاد دانشگاه رازی

چکیده

this study is an attempt to develop a model of the simultaneous structure of the aggregate dynamic supply and demand to be used for estimation of parameters from data related to iran’s economy. the method for developing the model is an application of the dynamic and simultaneous process of aggregate supply and demand. obtained differential equations are used for solve the model. to estimate the coefficients of the model and comparing the results with theoretical expectations of the model, generalized method of moment (gmm) in econometrics is applied. these results have met all the expectations with an acceptable accuracy margin and in the analytical part of this article the economic data of iran is reflected on accordingly. the final results have identified four various business cycles of expansion and contraction from 1980 on. jel classification: e31, e32

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

a study on insurer solvency by panel data model: the case of iranian insurance market

the aim of this thesis is an approach for assessing insurer’s solvency for iranian insurance companies. we use of economic data with both time series and cross-sectional variation, thus by using the panel data model will survey the insurer solvency.

An Entrepreneurial Decision-Making Model: A Case Study of‏ ‏the ‎Electronic Business of Tehran

E-businesses play a critical role in today's knowledge-based economies. Despite their ‎increasing portion, e-businesses experience high rates of failure. Therefore, it is of prime ‎importance to identify their decision-making activities encountering outer competitive forces ‎and their internal structural events. In this study, through using the Grounded Theory approach, we ‎analyze interviews c...

متن کامل

Test of Real Business Cycle Theory in Iran's economy

This paper tests the importance of real shocks as sources of fluctuations in iran’s economy. For this purpose, based on the work of Boschen and Mills, a set of non-monetary variables which can affect economic growth have been selected and by using an illustrative business cycle model in which the production depends on the past and current value of real shocks, the influence 01’ these variables ...

متن کامل

an application of equilibrium model for crude oil tanker ships insurance futures in iran

با توجه به تحریم های بین المملی علیه صنعت بیمه ایران امکان استفاده از بازارهای بین المملی بیمه ای برای نفتکش های ایرانی وجود ندارد. از طرفی از آنجایی که یکی از نوآوری های اخیر استفاده از بازارهای مالی به منظور ریسک های فاجعه آمیز می باشد. از اینرو در این پایان نامه سعی شده است با استفاده از این نوآوری ها با طراحی اوراق اختیارات راهی نو جهت بیمه گردن نفت کش های ایرانی ارائه نمود. از آنجایی که بر...

میزبانی شده توسط پلتفرم ابری doprax.com

copyright © 2015-2023